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Team data

Team Performance vs Model

Each point shows the team’s cumulative average of actual margin minus predicted margin after that match. Positive means better than predicted.

Top 3 overperformers

  1. Wicklow+2.6
  2. Louth+2.4
  3. Laois+2.3

Bottom 3 underperformers

  1. Waterford-4.6
  2. Sligo-4.6
  3. Limerick-3.1
Antrim-0.8
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Armagh+0.3
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Carlow+0.3
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Cavan-1.9
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Clare-1.1
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Cork+1.0
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Derry+0.5
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Donegal<0.1
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Down-1.9
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Dublin-0.6
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Fermanagh+1.0
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Galway-1.1
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Kerry-0.2
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Kildare-2.2
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Laois+2.3
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Leitrim+0.7
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Limerick-3.1
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London+1.7
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Longford+1.4
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Louth+2.4
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Mayo+2.2
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Meath+1.9
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Monaghan-1.2
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Offaly-1.9
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Roscommon+0.5
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Sligo-4.6
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Tipperary+1.6
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Tyrone-1.7
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Waterford-4.6
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Westmeath+1.9
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Wexford+1.6
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Wicklow+2.6
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Match error is actual result margin minus model-predicted margin. Each point is the average of those errors from match one through that match. Every team shares the same symmetric scale, -12 to +12. The dashed line is zero. Updated Sat, Oct 03, 2026, 02:35 PM.